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Mitengo yegoridhe inorekodha kusimba kwavo kwakanyanya muna Gumiguru munenge hafu yezana ramakore

Mutengo wegoridhe waive neakanakisa Gumiguru mune ingangoita hafu yezana, kupikisa kuramba kwakasimba kubva mukuwanda kwegoho rePfuma uye dhora rakasimba reUS. Iyo yero simbi yakawedzera zvinoshamisa 7.3% mwedzi wapfuura kuvhara pamadhora zana nemakumi mapfumbamwe nemakumi mapfumbamwe neshanu, iyo yakasimba Gumiguru kubvira 1978, payakasvetuka 11.7%.

Goridhe, pfuma isina mhindu, yakamboparara kare apo goho remabhondi raikwira kumusoro. Kusarudzika kwakaitwa gore rino, zvisinei, panjodzi dzakakura dzehupfumi uye dzezvematongerwo enyika, kusanganisira rekodhi-yakakwira chikwereti chenyika, kukwira kwekadhi rechikwereti, kuenderera mberi kwekuderera kwehupfumi (zvisinei nekusimbirira kwaJerome Powell kuti kudzikira hakuchisina muFederal Reserve's. forecasts) uye hondo mbiri.

SHANDISA KUTI PRECIOUS METALS DIGEST

Kugadzira yako portfolio yegoridhe mumusika usina chokwadi

Kana iwe uchitenda kuti mamiriro aya acharamba achikurudzira kudiwa kwekudyara kwegoridhe, ino ingave nguva yakanaka yekufunga nezvekufumurwa (kana kuwedzera kuratidzwa kwako) uchitarisira mitengo inokwira.

Shoko renyevero: Simbi inotaridzika kuva yakawandisa izvozvi zvichibva pamazuva gumi nemana esimba index (RSI), saka tinogona kuona imwe purofiti munguva pfupi. Ndinotenda kuti tsigiro yakasimba iri kugadzirwa, uye kana masheya akadzikira kubva papombi yesvondo rapfuura, inogona kunge iri mukana wakakwana werally yegoridhe. Ramba uchifunga kuti, kwenguva yemakore makumi matatu, Mbudzi wanga uri mwedzi wakanakisa wemasheya, neS&P 500 ichiwedzera avhareji ye1.96%, zvichibva pane data yeBloomberg.

Ini ndinokurudzira kurema kwegoridhe isingapfuure gumi muzana, kupatsanurwa zvakaenzana pakati pemabhara, mari uye zvishongo) uye yepamusoro-yemhando yegoridhe migodhi, mutual funds uye ETFs. Rangarira kudzoreredza kanenge kamwe pagore, kana kwete kakawanda.

Sei mabhanga makuru ari kubheja pagoridhe

Kana iwe uchiri pafenzi, tarisa kuti chikamu chepamutemo chave chii. Mabhanga eCentral akatenga akaungana mazana matatu nemakumi matatu nematatu matani egoridhe muchikamu chechitatu, zvichimaka yechipiri-yakakura yechitatu kota pane rekodhi, sekureva kwazvino mushumo weWorld Gold Council (WGC). Gore-kusvika-zuva, mabhanga akawedzera zvinoshamisa matani 800, ayo ari 14% kupfuura akawedzera mukati memwedzi mipfumbamwe yakafanana gore rapfuura.

Mabhanga epakati Ramba Uchitenga paBlistering Pace

Rondedzero yevatengi vakuru mukati mechikamu chechitatu yaive yakadzvanywa nemisika ichiri kusimukira sezvo nyika dziri kuramba dzichisiyana kubva padhora rekuAmerica. Pamusoro paive neChina, iyo yakawedzera hombe 78 metric tons egoridhe, ichiteverwa nePoland (inodarika 56 matani) neTurkey (39 tons).

Ndinowanzo kurudzira vatengesi kuti vateerere kune izvo mabhanga makurudopane zvavariiti,asi pane dzimwe nguva vane pfungwa uye vakakodzera kuteerera.

Somuenzaniso, pamusangano wevatori venhau wemwedzi wapera, purezidhendi weNational Bank of Poland (NBP) Adam Glapiński akataura kuti nyika yokuEastern Europe yaizoramba ichitenga ndarama, izvo “zvinoita kuti Poland ive nyika inovimbika zvikuru.” Chinangwa ndechekuti goridhe rive 20% yenzvimbo dzese dzePoland. Kubva munaGunyana, goridhe yakaverengera 11.2% yekubata kwayo, maererano neWGC data.

Kumhanyisa goridhe kweJapan

Tarisa zvakare kuJapan. Nyika yanga isati yave mutengi mukuru wegoridhe kunze kwenyika, asi vatengesi vekuJapan pamwe nedzimba dzese nguva pfupi yadarika vakakwidza mutengo weyero simbi kune itsva-yenguva yakakwira ye ¥300,000. Ndiwo musiyano wakakura kubva pamutengo weavhareji wemakore makumi matatu wepasi pe ¥100,000.

Ndarama Inotengeswa muJapan Yen paRekodha Yakakwirira

Munguva iri pakati nepakati, kumhanyidzana kwegoridhe rekuJapan kwakatangwa zvakanyanya neiyo yen's slide yenhoroondo ichipikisa dhora rekuAmerica, izvo zvave kuita kuti vanosima mari vatsvage ruzhowa rwekurwisa inflation.

Mukuyedza kudzoreredza kukwira kwemitengo yevatengi, Mutungamiriri weJapan Fumio Kishida akaunza ¥17 trillion ($113 bhiriyoni) yekusimudzira iyo, pakati pezvimwe zvinhu, inoderedza kwenguva pfupi mari yemuhoro nemitero yekugara, rubatsiro kudzimba dzine mari shoma nepeturu. nerubatsiro rwekushandisa.

Asi sekuziva kwenyu vazhinji, kudhindwa kwemari nehurumende dzepasirese, kunyanya panguva yedenda, ndiko kukonzeresa kukwira kwemitengo kwadzika zvakanyanya mumahomwe evatengi pasi rose. Chirongwa chekushandisa mari inosvika mabhiriyoni zana negumi netatu panguva ino chichaita sehuni pamoto unopfuta.

Mhuri dzeJapan dzinoita sedzinonzwisisa izvi, sezvo kubvumidza kwavo basa raKishida semutungamiri wenyika kwadzika kusvika pamakumi matatu nematatu muzana, sekureva kwesarudzo yakaitwa naNikkei neTokyo TV. Pavakabvunzwa nezve kuderedzwa kwemutero kungangoita, 65% yevatori vechikamu vakati imhinduro isina kufanira kukwira kwemitengo.

Imwe nzira iri nani, ndinotenda, ndeyekucherwa kwegoridhe negoridhe. Sezvo WGC yakaratidza kakawanda, goridhe rakagara richifamba zvakanaka munguva dzekukwira kwemitengo. Nhoroondo, apo inflation rates yakapfuura 3%-iyo yatiri nhasi-avhareji mutengo wegoridhe wakasimuka 14%.

Kwemwedzi gumi nemiviri kubva musi weChishanu, goridhe pamadhora ari kumusoro kwe22%, iyo inokunda S&P 500 (kukwira 19% panguva imwe cheteyo) uye iri pamusoro peinflation.

Chekutanga : (NaFrank Holmes, CEO weUS Global Investors)


Nguva yekutumira: Nov-09-2023